# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest video will accumulate a measurable view count over its first 48 hours on YouTube, with this market tracking whether that total falls within specified brackets. The resolution hinges on the public view counter displayed on the channel at the 48-hour mark, creating a straightforward numerical outcome tied to audience engagement metrics that YouTube updates in real time.

Historical performance of MrBeast's uploads shows considerable variance depending on content type and release timing. Videos posted during peak engagement windows (typically weekday mornings in US time zones) have consistently exceeded 50 million views within 48 hours, whilst uploads during off-peak periods or those featuring experimental formats have occasionally underperformed that threshold. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders currently perceive a low likelihood of the video landing in the lowest bracket, reflecting confidence in MrBeast's baseline viewership pull. Comparable creators in the high-production-value space—including SET India and Zee Entertainment channels—demonstrate that established audiences with proven content franchises rarely fall below 20 million views in the opening two days.

Traders should monitor the exact upload timestamp, as YouTube's algorithmic promotion and viewer timezone distribution create material differences in 48-hour accumulation. Recent MrBeast announcements regarding video release schedules appear on his social media channels and community posts; any delays or format changes could alter typical performance patterns. The settlement window closing 1 June 2026 allows sufficient time for the full 48-hour window to elapse and for YouTube's view counter to stabilise before resolution.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Tax UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.