"Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

A reboot of the Scary Movie franchise is scheduled for theatrical release on 6 June 2026, with opening weekend box office performance (3–7 June) to be measured against established brackets. The Numbers will serve as the authoritative source for final domestic figures, excluding studio estimates. Settlement occurs once weekend data stabilises, with ties resolved upward to the higher bracket.

The original Scary Movie (2000) opened to $42.3 million domestically, whilst Scary Movie 2 (2001) achieved $32.2 million. Subsequent instalments declined markedly: Scary Movie 3 (2003) grossed $32.1 million, and Scary Movie 4 (2006) opened to $41.9 million. The franchise's last entry, Scary Movie 5 (2013), managed only $15.0 million. These historical benchmarks suggest declining audience appetite for the property over two decades, though franchise revivals in horror-comedy have occasionally outperformed expectations when released during strong theatrical windows. The 0% crowd probability reflects scepticism about whether this reboot will reverse the franchise's trajectory.

From a regulatory standpoint, this market operates under differing jurisdictional frameworks. UK traders face no specific KYC requirement for positions under £1,500, though the Gambling Commission's oversight applies to prediction market operators. German traders should note that the GlüStV (Glücksspielstaatsvertrag) classifies certain prediction markets as gaming products requiring state licensing. US traders remain subject to CFTC jurisdiction over event derivatives, though enforcement discretion typically focuses on financial rather than entertainment outcomes. Traders should verify their local regulatory status before participation.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Tax UK?

Zero. Polymarket Tax UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.