Morocco vs. Haiti - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the FIFA World Cup Group C match between Morocco and Haiti on 24 June 2026 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, where the market resolves solely on the 90-minute score, excluding extra time and penalties. This fixture marks the first-ever meeting between the two nations in any official or friendly capacity, with Morocco boasting three wins in its last four World Cup group matches—a significant improvement over its first 16 [1]. The current 5% crowd-implied probability for an exact score outcome reflects the rarity of such precise predictions in football, comparable to historical cases where exact-score markets in World Cup group stages settled at similarly low probabilities due to the high variance in scoring patterns.

Traders should monitor Morocco’s line-up announcements and Haiti’s defensive dependencies, particularly after their recent 1-0 win against Scotland and 1-1 draw with Brazil, which shaped their current form [2]. A key catalyst is the potential for a postponed match, as the market remains open until completion if delays occur, a dependency highlighted by FIFA’s official match schedule [6]. Recent news from Concacaf confirms Haiti’s campaign closure against Morocco, underscoring the match’s finality in Group C and its impact on tournament progression [1].

From a regulatory perspective, German GlüStV implications and US CFTC reach define the market’s legal framework, while the ‘no-KYC up to $1,500’ threshold enhances accessibility for traders in jurisdictions with strict identity verification rules. This specific market’s structure aligns with prediction market standards that exclude KYC for smaller stakes, ensuring broader participation without compromising compliance. Facts here are not legal advice but reflect current regulatory interpretations for prediction markets.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Tax UK?

Zero. Polymarket Tax UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.