Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Tax UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Tax UK.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 13.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Korea Republic and Czechia will contest a FIFA World Cup group-stage match on 11 June 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. The corners market settles on the total number of corner kicks awarded during the 90-minute match, with the settlement window closing at 02:00 UTC on 12 June. The 0% implied probability suggests traders currently assess a low likelihood of the outcome specified in the YES condition, though the exact threshold (e.g., over 9.5 corners) remains implicit in the market structure.
Historical corner data from recent World Cup tournaments indicates that group-stage matches average between 8 and 11 corners, with variance driven by team style, referee assignment, and pitch conditions. Korea Republic's recent qualifying campaign showed defensive solidity with moderate corner concessions, whilst Czechia's European qualifying record reflected a more open attacking approach. Comparable fixtures between similar-ranked nations in the 2022 World Cup produced corner totals ranging from 6 to 14, depending on whether either side pursued aggressive pressing or defensive containment. The current 0% reading may reflect either extreme confidence in a specific outcome or insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful probability distribution.
Traders should monitor official team sheets released 24 hours before kickoff, as injury absences often force tactical adjustments affecting corner frequency. Referee assignments, typically announced 48 hours prior, influence whistle-happy tendencies. Regulatory access to this market varies: under German GlüStV provisions, German residents face restrictions on unregulated prediction markets; US CFTC reach extends to US persons, though many platforms operate under no-KYC thresholds up to $1,500 notional exposure, which may permit participation without formal identity verification for smaller positions on this specific fixture.
Methodology
We track Korea Republic vs. Czechia - Total Corners on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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