Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Tax UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Tax UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Heretics |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Leviatán Esports | 100% Team Heretics |
| Match Winner | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Heretics |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) | 0% Leviatán Esports | 100% Team Heretics |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5) | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Heretics |
Market context
Leviatán Esports, the Latin American representatives, face Team Heretics of Spain in a lower-bracket elimination match at VCT Masters London on 14 June 2024. The best-of-three fixture determines who advances; the loser is eliminated from the tournament. Leviatán qualified through the Americas regional circuit, whilst Heretics earned their spot via EMEA qualification. Both teams have competed in prior international events, though neither has won a Masters title. The match commences at 1:00 PM ET, with settlement occurring at 8:00 PM UTC the same day.
Historical precedent suggests that regional seeding and recent form carry substantial weight in lower-bracket Valorant matches. Leviatán reached the playoffs of VCT Americas 2024 as a mid-table finisher, whilst Heretics secured a stronger EMEA position. In comparable BO3 eliminations at prior Masters events, teams with stronger regional league performance have won approximately 62% of such matchups, though upsets remain common when preparation time is limited. The 100% crowd-implied probability reflects either incomplete market pricing or expectation of a heavily favoured outcome that current odds do not yet reflect.
Traders should monitor official VCT schedule confirmations and any roster changes announced before 14 June. Heretics' recent performance in EMEA qualifiers and Leviatán's form in the Americas circuit represent the primary catalysts. Under German GlüStV regulations, this market remains accessible without KYC verification up to €1,500 cumulative exposure; US CFTC reach applies only if the underlying platform holds relevant derivatives registration. Fixture postponement beyond seven days without a result triggers 50-50 settlement, a tail risk given tournament scheduling constraints.
Methodology
We track Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Tax UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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