LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Vivo Keyd Stars and LOS are set to compete in the Lower Bracket Final of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs on 13 June 2024, with the winner advancing to the grand final stage. The best-of-three match is scheduled for 12:00 PM ET. The 100% crowd-implied probability reflects either exceptionally high confidence in one team's superiority or sparse trading volume; either way, traders should scrutinise the underlying rosters and recent form before accepting such extreme odds.

Historical precedent in regional League of Legends qualifiers shows that lower-bracket finals often produce upsets when the higher-seeded team underestimates their opponent or faces unexpected roster changes. Vivo Keyd Stars, as a more established Brazilian organisation, typically carries favouritism in such matchups, but LOS's path through the lower bracket may indicate they have solved specific draft or macro problems. Recent LATAM qualifier tournaments have seen competitive matches between regional powerhouses and rising challengers, suggesting the 100% probability may not reflect genuine match uncertainty.

Traders should monitor official announcements regarding player availability, particularly any last-minute substitutions or health issues that could affect either team's performance. The settlement window closes at 22:00 UTC on 13 June, allowing seven days for the match to conclude; delays beyond that trigger a 50-50 resolution. Under German GlüStV regulations, esports prediction markets fall outside gaming licensing where they reflect genuine competitive outcomes rather than gambling mechanics. US CFTC oversight applies to derivative contracts, though prediction markets under $1,500 notional value typically operate without KYC requirements in certain jurisdictions, lowering barriers to retail participation in this specific market.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Tax UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.