Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
BNK FEARX are due to face Hanwha Life Esports in an LCK best-of-three, with the market resolving on the match winner rather than the series scoreline. A crowd-implied 100% YES typically reflects that the game is either very close to start time or already widely expected to be played and completed as scheduled, so traders should be alert to late venue, roster or broadcast changes rather than treat the price as a guarantee of certainty.
Comparable LCK markets have shown that even short delays or admin changes can matter when the settlement window is tight. This contract stays live until 14:00 UTC, which means any postponement beyond seven days, cancellation, or an unplayed tie would force a 50-50 outcome under the rules. From a regulatory perspective, German-accessible use of Polymarket intersects with the GlüStV regime, while US-facing activity sits within the wider CFTC jurisdictional debate; separately, “no-KYC up to $1,500” indicates limited-access trading before identity checks are triggered, which affects who can use the market and at what size, not how it settles.
The main catalysts are simple: line-up confirmation, official LCK start-time updates, and whether both teams field their announced starters. Recent esports results and previews suggest Hanwha Life have been treated as the stronger side in this pairing, but for settlement purposes only the actual result counts. If the broadcast starts on time and the series is completed, the market should be straightforward; if the match is rescheduled or interrupted, the timing rules become the key factor.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Ro… on PolyGram
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