Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Tax UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Tax UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% Bilibili Gaming Junior | 100% T1 Academy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5) | 100% T1 Academy | 0% Bilibili Gaming Junior |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% YES | 91% NO |
Market context
Asia Masters Group B will feature a best-of-three match between Bilibili Gaming Junior and T1 Academy on 9 June 2026 at 04:00 ET. The contest determines advancement within the regional League of Legends developmental circuit, where academy rosters compete under franchise-affiliated structures. T1 Academy represents the secondary team of the world's most decorated professional LoL organisation, whilst Bilibili Gaming Junior operates within the LPL ecosystem's talent pipeline.
The 0% crowd probability reflects T1's historical dominance in academy-level competition and the organisation's resource advantage in player development. However, comparable academy fixtures—particularly those involving Chinese developmental teams—have produced upsets when matchmaking occurs across regional infrastructure differences. Bilibili's junior roster has demonstrated competitive depth in domestic qualifying rounds, and academy tournaments frequently feature tighter margins than their professional counterparts suggest. The absence of recent head-to-head records between these specific squads limits predictive confidence.
Traders should monitor official Asia Masters scheduling confirmations and any roster changes announced before 9 June, as academy lineups occasionally shift due to injury or professional-team rotation. T1's commitment to the tournament format and any public statements regarding preparation intensity will signal competitive intent. Delays beyond the seven-day window trigger 50-50 resolution; cancellation likewise resolves neutral. From a regulatory standpoint, this market operates under German GlüStV provisions if accessed from EU jurisdictions, whilst US CFTC oversight applies to certain trader categories. The no-KYC threshold of $1,500 USD permits retail participation without identity verification up to that stake level, though settlement and withdrawal procedures remain subject to platform-specific compliance frameworks.
Methodology
We track LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Tax UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Tax UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Tax UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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