Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Team Falcons and PARIVISION are scheduled to play a best-of-three upper-bracket semi-final in DreamLeague Season 29’s playoffs. The market has been priced at a 100% YES crowd view, but the relevant question is still whether the series is actually completed and produces a winner before the settlement window closes. In comparable Dota 2 playoff spots, the main risk is rarely a tied scoreline: it is scheduling disruption, a late start, or an abandonment that leaves the market to the event’s fallback rules rather than the competitive result.
The comparison case is useful because these teams have recent knockout history. PARIVISION beat Team Falcons 2-0 in DreamLeague Season 27, while current event coverage from Gamereactor said Falcons opened the Season 29 playoffs with a 2-0 win over Tundra and PARIVISION advanced by defeating Team Liquid 2-1. That makes the live market more about execution and continuity than an open coin-flip, although the stated settlement window means traders still need the series to start and finish on time, or within the seven-day grace period, for a normal winner settlement.
From a regulatory angle, prediction-market access can differ sharply by jurisdiction. German users should note that GlüStV restrictions can affect whether a market is accessible at all, while US-facing participation sits under the CFTC’s broader enforcement reach if a platform is deemed to be offering a derivatives-like contract. Where a venue advertises no-KYC up to $1,500, that generally means small-value participation may be possible without identity checks, but only until the platform’s threshold is reached and subject to local blocking or compliance controls.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeag… on PolyGram
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