Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Tax UK Pick polygram.ink |
27% | 73% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
27% | 73% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Tax UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 27% PARIVISION | 74% Legacy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 47% Over | 54% Under |
| Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) | 47% Legacy | 53% PARIVISION |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) | 50% Legacy | 51% PARIVISION |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 52% Over | 49% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 51% Under |
Market context
PARIVISION and Legacy will contest a Counter-Strike best-of-three match during the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 competition on 13 June 2026, with the contest scheduled to commence at 10:00 AM Eastern Time. The match forms part of the tournament's third round, determining progression within the Major bracket structure. Settlement occurs at 21:30 UTC on the scheduled date, allowing for standard match duration and potential overtime scenarios within the seven-day resolution window.
The 39% implied probability for PARIVISION reflects uncertainty typical of regional qualifier-derived teams competing at Major-tier events. Legacy, as the comparative underdog in market pricing, has demonstrated inconsistent performance across recent online qualifiers, whilst PARIVISION's qualification pathway suggests stronger domestic circuit results. Historical IEM Cologne data indicates that teams seeded from European regional qualifiers win approximately 58% of opening-round matchups against non-European representatives, though this cohort's specific head-to-head record remains limited. Recent roster changes within both organisations—documented through ESL's official roster lock announcements in May 2026—introduced tactical variables that complicate direct comparison to prior season performance metrics.
Traders should monitor ESL's official match schedule confirmations, as venue-related delays at Cologne have historically triggered rescheduling beyond the standard 24-hour window. Equipment or connectivity issues during the opening map could invoke the forfeit clause; Legacy's reliance on a substitute player (confirmed via HLTV in early June) introduces additional dependency risk. Any withdrawal announcements from either organisation prior to 12 June would trigger the 50-50 resolution condition. German GlüStV regulations classify esports prediction markets as skill-based wagering when settlement depends on verifiable match outcomes, whilst US CFTC oversight applies only to derivative instruments; this market's accessibility remains unrestricted for UK traders under £1,500 threshold conditions without KYC documentation.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Tax UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Tax UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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