Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The real-world event is a best-of-three elimination match between TheMongolz and Liquid at the CS Asia Championships Group B in Shanghai. The current 100% crowd-implied price points to a market that is effectively assuming the match will be played and settled normally, rather than reflecting a balanced view of the fixture. For context, TheMongolz have already shown they can handle Liquid in a recent BO3: they beat them 2-0 at BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 in March, which is a useful comparator for form-based traders. A separate recent result at this event also matters: TheMongolz were beaten by B8 and dropped into the lower bracket, meaning this is now a survival match rather than a seeding game.

The main catalysts are scheduling and bracket flow, not just team strength. Dust2.in reported that TheMongolz would face the loser of 3DMAX vs Liquid after dropping to the lower bracket, so any delay, protest, format change, or match-order reshuffle would be relevant to resolution timing. The market’s settlement window closes at 2026-05-21T15:25:00Z, so traders should watch for official tournament updates and whether the match starts and finishes within that period. From a compliance angle, German GlüStV rules can affect access and participation for users in Germany, while US CFTC jurisdiction matters because event contracts may face regulatory limits depending on venue and user location. On some platforms, “no-KYC up to $1,500” generally means smaller positions can be taken with only basic account checks, which can make access easier for this specific market, though higher limits typically trigger identity verification.

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Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.