Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Tax UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Tax UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% KUUSAMO.gg | 100% Passion Academy |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% KUUSAMO.gg | 0% Passion Academy |
| Match Winner | 100% KUUSAMO.gg | 0% Passion Academy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: KSM (-1.5) vs Passion Academy (+1.5) | 0% KUUSAMO.gg | 100% Passion Academy |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
KUUSAMO.gg are scheduled to face Passion Academy in a best-of-three United21 Group D elimination match, so the market is a straight read on whether KUUSAMO.gg take the series rather than on map count or round margins. Recent results frame the price cautiously: KUUSAMO.gg were reported as winless in their last five matches and around #211 in Strafe’s CS2 rankings, while the same matchup has also been listed by multiple score providers as a completed 2–1 KUUSAMO.gg win in this event family, which is a reminder that market timing and the exact fixture version matter when matching live data to settlement logic.[1][3][7]
The current 0% crowd-implied YES price is best treated as a thin-liquidity signal rather than a robust forecast, especially in lower-tier CS2 where lineups, stand-ins and schedule changes can move outcomes sharply. For regulatory context, a German user would need to factor in GlüStV restrictions on offering or participating in unauthorised online gambling-style products, while a US participant should note that prediction contracts can fall within CFTC scrutiny depending on structure and access. “No-KYC up to $1,500” means the venue may allow small-value participation without identity checks, but it does not remove location screening, tax obligations, or any platform right to request verification at higher limits or on compliance triggers.[2]
What matters most into settlement is whether the match actually starts and finishes before the deadline window, because postponement or abandonment can flip a result into the market’s fallback rules rather than a team win. Traders should watch official match-room updates, tournament scheduling, and any note of technical delay, as the listed event is already tied to a specific start slot and similar market pages have shown closing windows shortly after the scheduled time, which leaves limited room for rescheduling before the 7-day outside limit becomes relevant.[2][6]
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Tax UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Tax UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Tax UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Passion Academy (BO3) … on Polymarket Tax UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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