Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Keyd and paiN Academy are scheduled to contest a Counter-Strike best-of-three quarterfinal match in the CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs on 23 May at 3:00PM ET. The match determines progression in a regional competition that feeds into broader competitive Counter-Strike circuits. Settlement occurs by 24 May at 01:00 UTC, allowing a 22-hour window for match completion and result confirmation.

The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally high confidence in match occurrence or sparse liquidity typical of regional esports fixtures. Historical CCT South America events have maintained reliable scheduling; however, technical disruptions and player availability issues have occasionally forced postponements within the seven-day grace period outlined in the resolution criteria. Comparable Tier-2 esports markets show settlement delays are uncommon but material enough to warrant monitoring—matches that begin but fail to complete due to platform failures or disconnections can trigger the partial-win clause, which requires tracking live broadcast status.

Traders should monitor official CCT announcements and both teams' social media for fixture confirmations, roster changes, or scheduling conflicts in the 48 hours preceding the match. Keyd's recent form in regional qualifiers and paiN Academy's competitive standing within South American circuits will influence any probability shifts, though current odds suggest minimal uncertainty. The no-KYC threshold of $1,500 USD applies to this market under most jurisdictions; however, German traders should note GlüStV restrictions on certain prediction markets, whilst US-based traders remain subject to CFTC oversight depending on their broker's regulatory classification. Settlement hinges on verified match results from official CCT sources.

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.