Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Tax UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Tax UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Ground Zero (-6.5) vs Masked Regime (+6.5) | 100% Ground Zero | 0% Masked Regime |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Ground Zero (-6.5) vs Masked Regime (+6.5) | 0% Ground Zero | 100% Masked Regime |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Ground Zero (-9.5) vs Masked Regime (+9.5) | 0% Ground Zero | 100% Masked Regime |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Ground Zero (-9.5) vs Masked Regime (+9.5) | 0% Ground Zero | 100% Masked Regime |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Ground Zero and Masked Regime will compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match within the Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B bracket on 10 June at 04:30 ET. The settlement window closes at 14:30 UTC the same day. Resolution hinges on a decisive outcome; if the match does not commence, concludes in a tie, or extends beyond seven days without a winner, the market settles 50–50. Partial completion—where one team achieves map victory but the series remains unfinished—triggers resolution based on that intermediate result.
The 100% implied probability reflects the structural certainty of a scheduled fixture within an established tournament framework. Dfrag Open Series events have maintained consistent scheduling and completion rates across prior iterations, establishing precedent for on-time resolution. However, esports matches remain subject to technical failures, player unavailability, or administrative postponement. Historical cases involving regional qualifiers show that even well-organised series occasionally slip past their original windows; the seven-day grace period accommodates common delays without triggering a split outcome.
Traders should monitor Dfrag's official announcements for any fixture rescheduling, team roster changes, or venue disruptions in the 48 hours preceding the match. Recent Counter-Strike competitive calendars have seen increased scheduling pressure as multiple leagues overlap; confirmation of both teams' participation status typically arrives 24–36 hours before start time. Internet connectivity issues or hardware failures during play remain the primary wildcard; the market's partial-completion clause means even a single-map result will settle definitively rather than revert to 50–50, reducing ambiguity compared to all-or-nothing tournament structures.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Tax UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) -… on Polymarket Tax UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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