Market statistics
- Total volume
- $1.9M
- 24h volume
- $1.9M
- Liquidity
- $1.7M
- Open interest
- $1.3M
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Available prediction outcomes (12)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
BetBoom Team face paiN Gaming in the IEM Atlanta upper bracket final, a best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match scheduled for 13 May 2026 at 21:30 UTC. The winner advances directly to the grand final, whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket. BetBoom Team, a Russian-Belarusian roster, have consistently ranked amongst Europe's top sides, whilst paiN represent Brazil's strongest competitive presence. The 59% implied probability favours BetBoom, reflecting their recent form and head-to-head record against Brazilian opposition at international events.
Historical matchups between Eastern European and South American Counter-Strike teams at IEM events show a consistent pattern favouring the former in best-of-three formats, particularly when map pool advantages align with European team strengths on Inferno and Mirage. BetBoom's qualification path through the group stage involved victories over established opponents, whereas paiN's route included a lower bracket run. Comparable upper bracket finals at prior IEM tournaments have typically resolved within the scheduled window without significant delays.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations through 12 May, as last-minute substitutions or visa complications have affected previous international events. ESL's official tournament schedule and team announcements remain the primary information sources. The settlement window extends to 14 May 02:30 UTC, providing a 48-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time. Under German GlüStV regulations, this market remains accessible in most EU jurisdictions; US traders face CFTC restrictions on prediction markets, though the no-KYC threshold up to $1,500 applies to individual position sizing rather than market accessibility itself.
Methodology
This overview of Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCSb. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. PolyGram has a different geo footprint.
- Do I need to KYC for PolyGram?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. PolyGram stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- What happens during a tax audit?
- You're responsible for documenting your trades. PolyGram exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), PolyGram would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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