Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Tax UK Pick polygram.ink |
40% | 60% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
40% | 60% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Tax UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 40% BetBoom Team | 60% FURIA |
| Map 2 Winner | 47% BetBoom Team | 54% FURIA |
| Match Winner | 39% BetBoom Team | 62% FURIA |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% Over | 52% Under |
| Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | 35% FURIA | 66% BetBoom Team |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 51% Under |
Market context
BetBoom Team, a Russian-based Counter-Strike organisation, faces FURIA, the Brazilian squad, in a best-of-three elimination match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 on 13 June 2026. The match forms part of the Major circuit's third round, where both teams compete for progression and prize pool allocation. BetBoom enters with recent LAN experience from Eastern European qualifiers, whilst FURIA brings consistent South American regional dominance. The 40% implied probability for BetBoom suggests market participants view FURIA as slight favourites, though the BO3 format introduces variance that single-map contests would not.
Historical precedent shows BetBoom performs inconsistently against top-tier South American opposition in international settings. FURIA's record against CIS-region teams over the past eighteen months favours the Brazilians in approximately 58% of engagements, though map pool compatibility and recent roster adjustments merit scrutiny. When comparing similar seeding positions at prior Majors, teams positioned as underdogs at 40% probability have historically converted wins at rates between 35–42%, suggesting current odds reflect genuine competitive disadvantage rather than mispricing.
Traders should monitor official ESL announcements regarding final roster confirmations, which typically occur 48 hours before match start. Visa complications affecting either squad's travel to Cologne remain a material risk through the settlement window. Recent patch updates to competitive map pools, published by Valve in early June, may disproportionately favour one team's tactical preparation. Any delay exceeding seven days from the scheduled 12:30 PM ET start triggers the 50-50 resolution clause, creating a distinct settlement risk independent of in-game performance.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Tax UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Tax UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Tax UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
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