Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is a Counter-Strike 2 lower bracket quarterfinal match between AM Gaming and Eternal Fire, scheduled for 24 June 2026 at 12:00 local time in the Super DraculaN Group A, where AM Gaming holds a 100% crowd-implied probability of winning. Historical data shows these teams have met once previously on 26 January 2026, with AM Gaming securing a 1–0 victory and Eternal Fire having zero wins against them in that single encounter[1]. Eternal Fire’s broader match history reflects a 40% win rate across five recent matches, while AM Gaming remains untested in this specific head-to-head context beyond their lone prior win[2].

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for schedule confirmations, potential delays beyond the seven-day resolution window, or match cancellations that could trigger the 50–50 settlement clause. Recent coverage from EGamersWorld confirms the match timing and bracket placement, noting no current indications of disruption[1]. The German GlüStV regulatory framework and US CFTC reach create a compliance boundary where platforms offering “no-KYC up to $1,500” enable accessible participation for users within these jurisdictions, provided they remain under the threshold requiring identity verification. This specific market’s accessibility hinges on that KYC exemption, allowing immediate entry without documentation for bets under £1,500, while larger positions would demand full verification under evolving tax and anti-money laundering rules.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.