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Anthropic IPO by 2027?

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Anthropic IPO by 2027?" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1% YES 99% NO Volume: $239K Liquidity: $194K Closes: 1 Jul 2027
Trade on Polymarket Tax UK →
Anthropic IPO by 2027?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Tax UK Pick
polygram.ink
 1% 99% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Tax UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 1% 99% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Tax UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Tax UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Tax UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Tax UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Tax UK.

Active sub-markets

June 30, 20261% YES99% NO
September 30, 202616% YES85% NO
July 31, 20262% YES98% NO
December 31, 202690% YES11% NO
October 31, 202679% YES22% NO
September 15, 20265% YES96% NO

Market context

Anthropic IPO by 2027? — current market-implied probability: 1%. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." I…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Tax UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Sarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets WriterandJames WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market Analyst

Trade Anthropic IPO by 2027? on Polymarket Tax UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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