Bitcoin price on June 13?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin's spot price at noon ET on 13 June 2026 will be determined by the closing price of the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle on Binance at that specific moment. The market resolves to "No" if Binance data becomes unavailable or the candle fails to settle; otherwise, it brackets the price into discrete ranges, with ties resolving upward. Settlement occurs at 16:00 UTC the same day, giving traders a narrow window to observe the actual executed price before final determination.

The 0% crowd probability reflects the market's nascent state rather than consensus bearishness. Comparable intraday Bitcoin price markets have historically shown wide participation once liquidity accumulates; early-stage probability readings often shift dramatically as the settlement date approaches and traders position for volatility around macroeconomic announcements or regulatory filings. June 2026 sits beyond most near-term event calendars, meaning the probability will likely respond to whatever monetary policy or geopolitical developments emerge in the months preceding it.

From a regulatory accessibility standpoint, this market's structure intersects several jurisdictional frameworks. The German GlüStV treats prediction markets as wagering products subject to licensing; UK traders face FCA classification depending on whether the platform holds appropriate permissions. US CFTC oversight applies if the market operator accepts US participants, though binary Bitcoin price settlements occupy a grey zone between commodity futures and gaming. No-KYC access up to $1,500 USD typically means traders can place positions without full identity verification below that threshold, though settlement and withdrawal may still trigger compliance checks depending on the operator's jurisdiction and banking relationships.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Tax UK?

Zero. Polymarket Tax UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.