In this guide
Held annually at Flushing Meadows during late August and September, the US Open represents the year's concluding Grand Slam tournament on hard court surfaces. The playing conditions — characterised by rapid court speed — reward powerful serving and attacking groundstroke play, thereby generating distinct prediction market behaviour compared to the clay-based French Open or grass courts of Wimbledon.
US Open 2026 Men's Singles Odds
Hard court proficiency commands a notable market premium:
- Carlos Alcaraz: ~24-28% — Dominant across all surfaces, prior US Open victor
- Jannik Sinner: ~22-26% — Formidable hard court credentials, reliable return-of-serve capability
- Novak Djokovic: ~16-20% — Holds US Open records (24 Grand Slam titles), experience weighting
- Daniil Medvedev: ~10-14% — Captured US Open title in 2021, established hard court prowess
- Taylor Fritz: ~5-8% — Local venue advantage, commanding service game
US Open 2026 Women's Singles Odds
- Aryna Sabalenka: ~24-28% — 2023 US Open champion, forceful hard court style
- Iga Swiatek: ~20-24% — Hard court surface suits her tactical approach better than grass
- Coco Gauff: ~14-18% — Reigning US Open champion, domestic crowd support
- Jessica Pegula: ~8-11% — Reliable hard court performer across multiple seasons
US Open-Specific Trading Edge
- Hard court metrics: serve velocity, first-serve conversion rates, break-point success — all prove decisive at this venue
- Seasonal momentum: The tournament follows Wimbledon and preceding hard court events — performance data from July and August carries strongest predictive value
- Evening match conditions: Certain competitors exhibit marked performance swings during night matches played under artificial lighting
- Environmental factors: Manhattan's August-September climate, characterised by elevated temperatures and humidity levels, frequently advantages physically resilient competitors
FAQ
- When is the US Open 2026?
- The tournament spans from late August through mid-September 2026. Championship finals occur on the second Sunday of September.
- When do US Open prediction markets open?
- Primary markets become accessible approximately 4-6 weeks prior to tournament commencement. Markets tied to bracket composition activate following the official draw announcement.
- Can I trade during the US Open in real time?
- Absolutely — PolyGram refreshes winner projections and match-level markets continuously across the full fortnight of competition.